South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc64979347ded6ff70b60ae0629a5ff95ad2c50d65cb518a03f15fa7ca0e7b3e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 2c | 15,066$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.79 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 60c | 5,819$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.25 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 4,274$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.44 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 60c | 3,906$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.48 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 322 | 42.5%137 W · 185 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 1,965$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.84 | 1,261 | 53.6%676 W · 585 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 40c | 1,926$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,873$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.53 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 1,744$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed No | 40c | 1,567$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 1,404$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.25 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 40c | 1,393$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 4c | 1,255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,148$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.2 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 45c | 1,137$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.17 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 1,090$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.04 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 1,089$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.72 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 40c | 1,036$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.44 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 1,026$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.96 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 975.08$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.29 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Yes | 61c | 957.07$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.31 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 55c | 896.78$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 741.35$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 1,325 | 50%663 W · 662 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 60c | 682.81$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.12 | 526 | 49.8%262 W · 264 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Yes | 56c | 670.07$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 597.36$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 40c | 534.22$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 61c | 501.53$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 359 | 46.8%168 W · 191 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 55c | 454.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.54 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 60c | 414.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 783 | 51%399 W · 384 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 188 | 43.6%82 W · 106 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 353.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 347.39$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 334.1$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 62c | 325$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…a06abacked No | 40c | 320$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 60c | 302$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 61c | 286.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 60c | 274.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 46c | 255.43$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 5c | 231.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked No | 29c | 204.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…6cf8backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb588…2c11backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 255 | 57.3%146 W · 109 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…9ac7backed Yes | 60c | 173.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…22ebbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 40c | 153.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 148.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 1,489 | 37.4%557 W · 932 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 56c | 148.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 21c | 139$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 61c | 130.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes | 60c | 128$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 40c | 127.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 41c | 127$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 40c | 124.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 12c | 122.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 505 | 46.7%236 W · 269 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 60c | 122.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 48c | 116.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 58c | 103.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 103$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 54c | 100.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…1e72backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…6ecfbacked Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Yes | 58c | 94.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed No | 54c | 90.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…d77ebacked Yes | 61c | 82.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 26c | 78.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 240 | 45%108 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 56c | 77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 742 | 58.5%434 W · 308 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 40c | 71.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 41c | 68.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 441 | 61.7%272 W · 169 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 54c | 59.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 51c | 56.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 40c | 51.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 60c | 49.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 47.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 511 | 56.2%287 W · 224 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…51a8backed No | 39c | 42.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 52c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…7116backed No | 39c | 36.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 39c | 35.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…42debacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked Yes | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 52c | 33.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.