Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x581f25d832bf07ce93cd536b8e80c145d65caa386d52717833dcc7f0a070873d

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,510 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84a9…4eefbacked Yes	1c	1,954$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	13c	780.53$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.65	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	3c	533$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.61	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	6c	488.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.01	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	2c	467.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes	15c	467.26$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	60	8.3%5 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	10c	398.18$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.78	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Yes	14c	346.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	26.1%18 W · 51 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x012a…9fa9backed Yes	16c	318.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…30abbacked Yes	5c	279.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-56%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68f0…7443backed Yes	15c	238.27$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.24	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6142…367bbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c17…d983backed Yes	15c	195.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf0…4825backed Yes	15c	193.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes	9c	179$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	337	29.1%98 W · 239 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeae4…9cdbbacked Yes	11c	161.23$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.32	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-77%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed Yes	9c	139.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e92…395abacked Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…fec1backed Yes	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes	13c	134.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	10c	124.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.17	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Yes	13c	120$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	15c	109.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	14c	108$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b84…b851backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	9cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Yes	16c	94.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+26%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91ef…1953backed Yes	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd0…845cbacked Yes	19c	75.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d38…96fdbacked Yes	15c	74.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event