F1 · resolved market
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72a25c287adac562cda6f71db38fdac4b32fd5e8de017f3ae0064e1c40c0fcb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 66c | 1,171$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.64 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 67c | 981.3$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.47 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…ce4ebacked No | 70c | 819.17$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b63…1522backed Yes | 34c | 690.32$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 48c | 522.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…66acbacked Yes | 33c | 456.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 4c | 316.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 64c | 247.78$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 48c | 146.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed No | 64c | 139.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 50c | 119.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…951ebacked Yes | 40c | 113$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 67c | 109.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…f7a7backed Yes | 33c | 103.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 32c | 93.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 26c | 90.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 58c | 86.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…a895backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…0eefbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…5e2bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb975…258dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4b…dae1backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Yes | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…3defbacked Yes | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…372ebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21c…5803backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +215.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…4dbfbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…497dbacked Yes | 38c | 39.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 63c | 34.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…8175backed Yes | 34c | 33.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e6…ddfcbacked Yes | 34c | 30.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7188…3329backed No | 66c | 30.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…bd7ebacked No | 62c | 22.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 17.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.