TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked No38c74,999$28,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,622.392948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes63c50,000$31,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,599.946944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes64c24,755$15,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,744.8731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No36c21,227$7,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,585.069454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes61c17,500$10,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,749.998153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No39c15,000$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1804768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes56c14,785$8,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,347.22,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No38c13,789$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,549.967950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes73c11,120$8,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,104.5131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes52c11,068$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.631,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No27c10,610$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.51,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes63c10,372$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,499.9342962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No36c10,245$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,556.6519952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes62c8,065$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes62c7,664$4,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,745.115,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes62c6,426$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.99256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No37c5,426$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,416.53073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes63c5,371$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.376526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c5,159$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.548,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes76c4,749$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.525248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes62c4,393$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.6649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes63c4,163$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.7940242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No38c4,077$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.722,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes66c3,912$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,575.4317440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes64c3,423$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.9851749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No36c3,313$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.3512755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No37c2,890$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.632759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes63c2,757$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.7728940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c2,637$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.473,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No22c2,233$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.933458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No30c2,204$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.3910618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes33c2,107$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9608928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes63c1,994$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.241,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes64c1,637$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.424136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No36c1,596$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.3419742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c1,596$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.221,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No35c1,253$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.364542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No38c1,227$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.431,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked Yes68c1,155$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.213447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes1c1,120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed No39c1,031$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.183148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6203756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Yes68c999.97$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.983633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No37c982.41$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes60c907.15$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.682564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes77c903.08$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.8816051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes76c882.28$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.723545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Yes48c824.81$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes78c780.51$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.9929037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes62c711.19$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.941,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes62c708$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.961,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…0178backed No36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+246.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes57c672.34$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.212340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes62c625.28$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.682,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No36c597.65$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.531039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No31c574.83$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.0521938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes71c549.28$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9911817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked No29c524$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.253366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c498.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Yes64c462.15$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.013836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes61c447$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.891,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Yes75c446.53$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.253327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed No37c423.27$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.695757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No22c403.12$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8410649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes15c356.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No38c349.63$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5210426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No34c344.09$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e17…ce6fbacked Yes50c320.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed No32c319.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.182321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No37c291.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No38c290.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7560156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Yes62c284.78$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.943938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No40c278.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3432139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes37c275.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes62c275.02$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.517748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c249$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.171,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes46c244.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.221,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No17c230.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.74852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf431…09d9backed No38c224$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes64c223.34$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.172236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes62c208$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2914943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes48c202.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.412156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…ae3dbacked No37c200.64$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.46100%6 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+157.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962544%11 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No38c197.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3627549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes62c162.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0411858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b25…edc5backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…96d8backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc3…1bb7backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No38c157.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8827349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed Yes62c156.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No37c153.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8310158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.