South American Leagues · resolved market
Will LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26052c67fc9a1071548fad1916f332f96c4efe2dcaff8e7f0eb2ecb2a494c508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.99 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 3,361$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 3,074$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.56 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 2,374$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.06 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 1,437$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 75c | 1,069$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.93 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 1,028$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.18 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 76c | 999.82$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.86 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 580.75$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 551.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 76c | 550$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 333.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 40c | 326.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 28c | 264.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 75c | 200.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 10c | 193$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 48c | 147$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 21c | 144.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 24c | 140.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 106.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 99.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 76.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 74.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 48c | 74.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 71.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 45c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 25c | 59.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 38c | 33.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 39c | 33.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 75c | 25.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…60b1backed Yes | 62c | 24.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed No | 76c | 20.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 56c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked No | 72c | 15.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?this page
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.