Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Unicaja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1caf5d3533211c11fa1b810bc4f1a686693a9f9259f27127ec95047b183eb00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, Unicaja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Unicaja | 33c | 552.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Saski Baskonia | 77c | 501.32$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Unicaja | 26c | 419.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Saski Baskonia | 74c | 386.92$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed Saski Baskonia | 76c | 327.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia | 75c | 229$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Unicaja | 33c | 222.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Unicaja | 33c | 217$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Unicaja | 17c | 133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Unicaja | 23c | 130.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Unicaja | 21c | 129.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Unicaja | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…2d66backed Unicaja | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Saski Baskonia | 78c | 99.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Unicaja | 17c | 90.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Saski Baskonia | 65c | 85.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Saski Baskonia | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 42.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Saski Baskonia | 72c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Saski Baskonia | 68c | 25.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…417fbacked Saski Baskonia | 79c | 25.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Saski Baskonia | 74c | 24.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Saski Baskonia | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Saski Baskonia | 72c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.