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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes68c20,602$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No28c15,000$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1905538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No32c14,733$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.426454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c8,262$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.131,93345.3%876 W · 1,057 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c6,274$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.741216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No30c6,130$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.1571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No25c5,791$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.1137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes63c3,492$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes79c3,425$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.252080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes78c3,220$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.18988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9606648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No33c2,559$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.553050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c2,340$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.0114337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c1,760$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.394030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes67c1,504$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.819140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes64c1,406$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.255461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes75c1,381$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Yes79c1,331$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes67c1,250$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes63c977.12$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.516342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes66c960.96$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.86157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes64c928.99$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.442227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes66c875.85$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.794052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes78c731$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No28c716.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.699348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes62c704.32$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.648447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f3…48e4backed Yes66c633.87$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes65c631$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.859355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No37c549$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1333938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006749.3%33 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No26c512.64$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8335256.8%200 W · 152 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes72c500$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No32c500$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.753545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes64c462.91$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6423153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes62c455.61$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.399858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c437.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.061,42640.8%582 W · 844 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed No6c433.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0290%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes66c402.36$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.82040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No37c396$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.523135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Yes64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No21c330.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2612343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes65c312.28$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.527046.3%125 W · 145 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.514940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed No34c292.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No34c220.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No17c209.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7826040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes63c198.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.411560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes66c197.64$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No35c175.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5723151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No34c162.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.371323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes64c156.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.262236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes67c152$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.169156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd036…a17cbacked Yes67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+184.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.513016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No35c141$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7535037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes74c134.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.357145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a7…5517backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.584100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+78.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes63c125.47$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672737%10 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.920232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes64c118.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.754959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6099…18afbacked Yes67c111.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.481752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.773946.2%18 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfac5…9782backed No37c95.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked No26c91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No34c81.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.731315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-60.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes63c78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.869355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No32c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.646053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No32c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.647057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…e036backed Yes66c71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Yes64c64.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1f…a9a2backed Yes67c59.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed No26c56.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+75.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes79c53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.138976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x2c22…0df6backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No32c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.326555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.