Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d5eb6d6e6865231f5a7b41c214034cf1f1cf3f877cd1dc2b1c477973888f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 4c | 4,829$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 4c | 1,321$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 34c | 560$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 12c | 299$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 250$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 249.87$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 66c | 237.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…c059backed Yes | 69c | 199.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 69c | 72.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 66c | 62.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 63c | 61.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 35c | 44.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…cff2backed Yes | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will IK Start win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Lillestrøm SK vs. IK Start end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.