TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8724…c059

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$30.03
Set 1 Winner: Fils vs Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$19.11
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.56
Set 1 Winner: Altmaier vs Molcanbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Carabellibacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.74
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Bergsbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$28.64
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33%+$24.86
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.66
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
Tallahassee: Bruno Kuzuhara vs Hynek Bartonbacked Bruno Kuzuhara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.82
BMW Open: Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Barcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Oeiras 3: Jurij Rodionov vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.09
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.39
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.41
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$227.88
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$111.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$28.55
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.17
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$30.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$64.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.21
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$348.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.