Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Cerundolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e18b56af5b9cec3808ee931cddf02a4934f0005ed044a486ecb8ef91b062a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Zverev, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cerundolo | 33c | 3,335$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.57 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Zverev | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.8 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f30dbacked Zverev | 66c | 974.59$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cerundolo | 35c | 499.15$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…ad0fbacked Zverev | 66c | 356.63$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Zverev | 68c | 302.07$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.41 | 45 | 84.4%38 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed Zverev | 65c | 299.3$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo | 34c | 257.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Zverev | 9c | 227.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev | 49c | 217.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Zverev | 65c | 189.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.36 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Zverev | 54c | 128.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Zverev | 65c | 122.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cerundolo | 33c | 122.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Cerundolo | 35c | 114$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zverev | 43c | 100.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cerundolo | 42c | 99.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Zverev | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Zverev | 56c | 44.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…c059backed Zverev | 65c | 37.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zverev | 75c | 32.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Zverev | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 172 | 69.2%119 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…d150backed Zverev | 65c | 15.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Cerundolothis page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco CerundoloAlexander Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Cerundolo won
- Zverev vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zverev vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.