Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95147ff777e685b3f32f255ffbd3c28e5a8de381703062c29a76ac1925e245a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Zverev, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zverev | 41c | 1,133$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Cerundolo | 54c | 811.89$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.84 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Cerundolo | 59c | 562.97$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.82 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Zverev | 45c | 446.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Cerundolo | 59c | 342.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Cerundolo | 57c | 255.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Cerundolo | 59c | 215.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Zverev | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Zverev | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…ad0fbacked Zverev | 46c | 116.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo | 54c | 108.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Zverev | 46c | 83.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Zverev | 43c | 74.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d7a4backed Cerundolo | 57c | 61.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Zverev | 44c | 60.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Zverev | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Zverev | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…9ce1backed Cerundolo | 56c | 54.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed Cerundolo | 55c | 53.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Zverev | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…6a00backed Cerundolo | 56c | 51.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…ad2dbacked Cerundolo | 52c | 46.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5e…bc03backed Cerundolo | 55c | 45.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…b2fcbacked Cerundolo | 56c | 42.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Zverev | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Zverev | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…3bfbbacked Cerundolo | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…b99bbacked Cerundolo | 55c | 33.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed Cerundolo | 55c | 33.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1ee1backed Cerundolo | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…c2f4backed Cerundolo | 55c | 33.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…c97ebacked Cerundolo | 55c | 32.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…0694backed Cerundolo | 55c | 32.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…13b7backed Cerundolo | 55c | 32.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…fd62backed Cerundolo | 55c | 29.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077b…11d4backed Cerundolo | 56c | 29.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…c0f8backed Cerundolo | 56c | 27.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8eebbacked Cerundolo | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…ff8abacked Cerundolo | 56c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…d21cbacked Cerundolo | 55c | 26.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1696…5192backed Cerundolo | 56c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Cerundolo | 58c | 25.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Cerundolo | 55c | 24.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Cerundolo | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed Cerundolo | 55c | 24.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed Cerundolo | 55c | 24.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ba…97f7backed Cerundolo | 55c | 23.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…ad38backed Cerundolo | 55c | 21.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4426…ea88backed Cerundolo | 55c | 19.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco CerundoloAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs CerundoloCerundolo won
- Zverev vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zverev vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.