South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c7b010f1b12685d71643a26988c24052f3e3e91ec6883b1f31d18bb12cb6fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Yes | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 52c | 11,662$6,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,064.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 10,276$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 8,086$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.37 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 47c | 3,726$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.07 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 20c | 3,275$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.56 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 3,027$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 50c | 2,605$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 55c | 2,200$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.35 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 52c | 1,995$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,213$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.5 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 1,084$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.76 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.15 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Yes | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 48c | 999.59$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.8 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 53c | 871.33$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.46 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 762.05$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 73c | 410.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 53c | 405.2$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 50c | 367$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 47c | 275.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 242.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No | 52c | 209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 51c | 196.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0291…cf1bbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 177.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 163.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 49c | 98.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 95.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 92.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 54c | 78.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 76.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 71.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…857dbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Yes | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 48c | 31.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…9983backed Yes | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.