South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61cd2e0a204b8353aaf2ad87f6c7bb6111fd1583c419fdbb03cfe07f09083970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 4,671$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.13 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 33c | 4,336$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 3,655$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,269$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 1,170$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.86 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 6c | 1,039$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…78d2backed Yes | 10c | 985.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 922$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.17 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…9780backed Yes | 3c | 742.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 663.21$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 63c | 634.92$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 622.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 23c | 488.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 11c | 467.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 5c | 436.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 350.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 39c | 306.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes | 67c | 279.85$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 272$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…df17backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 232.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 206$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 69c | 205.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…0d1cbacked Yes | 37c | 203.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 66c | 192.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 38c | 168.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 164.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…a24abacked Yes | 67c | 164.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 162.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 32c | 159.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 68c | 153.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 32c | 151.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 147.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 54c | 137.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 67c | 131.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 40c | 125.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 70c | 98.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 28c | 83.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 36c | 72.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 66.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 62.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 57c | 61.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Yes | 39c | 56.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Yes | 28c | 53.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Yes | 20c | 49.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…3189backed Yes | 31c | 38.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 52c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb467…137dbacked Yes | 41c | 33.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…a5d5backed No | 55c | 29.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a4…bee0backed Yes | 40c | 28.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…9983backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…883abacked No | 61c | 22.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab4…676fbacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.