South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf9570d195ddbc7567518bed6e1ccef351eb47f1cc0b900a681a826d1f57095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 9,328$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 66c | 8,880$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,823.76 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 30c | 2,088$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 50c | 1,507$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.32 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,162$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.69 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 1,153$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 990.05$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 847.58$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.39 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 745$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 599.84$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…0957backed Yes | 80c | 489.3$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 458.5$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 60c | 411.07$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.43 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 56c | 383$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 27c | 318$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 246.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 18c | 220.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 69c | 186.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 11c | 131$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 66c | 123.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 34c | 122.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 103.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 11c | 99.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +289.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 76c | 96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 77.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 30c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed No | 48c | 69.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked No | 46c | 68.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 79c | 66.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 70c | 65.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 64.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 20c | 63.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 79c | 63.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…3189backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…722fbacked Yes | 31c | 46.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…6705backed Yes | 32c | 43.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 80c | 40.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…8f32backed Yes | 32c | 40.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…6545backed Yes | 31c | 34.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…9c6abacked Yes | 32c | 32.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bec0backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked No | 77c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…790fbacked No | 70c | 21.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…9f48backed No | 70c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…0673backed No | 70c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…358abacked No | 70c | 18.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…5d1fbacked No | 70c | 17.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…0969backed No | 70c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…4681backed No | 70c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…7b19backed No | 71c | 16.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…5cacbacked No | 70c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b32…a3babacked No | 70c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…eec6backed No | 71c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…c0f0backed No | 70c | 14.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…7b0cbacked No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.