Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x979a85fbe127a45a37e699e095962c32faa7e008f688bddb9274952ab5cb59fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Basketballof Panathinaikos, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Paris Basketball | 38c | 5,407$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Panathinaikos | 47c | 3,195$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.44 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Panathinaikos | 42c | 2,531$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Paris Basketball | 17c | 2,419$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.42 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paris Basketball | 65c | 2,395$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.38 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 2,127$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.11 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 16c | 1,208$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.53 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Paris Basketball | 63c | 1,192$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.9 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Panathinaikos | 52c | 1,156$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Paris Basketball | 44c | 1,148$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.16 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Panathinaikos | 61c | 973.82$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.44 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Paris Basketball | 65c | 918$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Paris Basketball | 63c | 819$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 17c | 812.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.08 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Paris Basketball | 75c | 785.82$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.27 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Paris Basketball | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Panathinaikos | 16c | 552$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Panathinaikos | 54c | 479.33$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Panathinaikos | 69c | 410.17$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Panathinaikos | 19c | 400.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paris Basketball | 15c | 388.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.97 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Paris Basketball | 65c | 383$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Paris Basketball | 63c | 372$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Paris Basketball | 65c | 355$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Panathinaikos | 23c | 354.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Paris Basketball | 58c | 349.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Panathinaikos | 50c | 332.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paris Basketball | 61c | 329.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panathinaikos | 18c | 302.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Panathinaikos | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Panathinaikos | 32c | 294.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Panathinaikos | 5c | 282.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Paris Basketball | 17c | 239.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…c191backed Panathinaikos | 44c | 225.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paris Basketball | 79c | 216$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Panathinaikos | 9c | 208.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Paris Basketball | 18c | 202.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Paris Basketball | 17c | 164.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Panathinaikos | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos | 74c | 155.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Panathinaikos | 51c | 143.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed Paris Basketball | 57c | 132.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Paris Basketball | 25c | 117$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Paris Basketball | 17c | 114.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Paris Basketball | 18c | 111$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Panathinaikos | 17c | 107.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Panathinaikos | 35c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Paris Basketball | 53c | 94.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Paris Basketball | 60c | 94.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Panathinaikos | 42c | 86.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Panathinaikos | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Paris Basketball | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Paris Basketball | 26c | 77.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Paris Basketball | 17c | 73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paris Basketball | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Paris Basketball | 17c | 70.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 68.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…2c06backed Paris Basketball | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Paris Basketball | 17c | 66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Panathinaikos | 50c | 57.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Panathinaikos | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Panathinaikos | 42c | 56.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Panathinaikos | 36c | 48.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Panathinaikos | 37c | 47.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Paris Basketball | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Panathinaikos | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Panathinaikos | 30c | 33.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Paris Basketball | 58c | 33.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Panathinaikos | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Panathinaikos | 62c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Paris Basketball | 60c | 30.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Paris Basketball | 63c | 27.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…61c8backed Panathinaikos | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…74b8backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Panathinaikos | 63c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.