TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Fnatic, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb555…0c4bbacked Fnatic62c11,676$7,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,281.343161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Team Liquid37c5,600$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.0736138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Fnatic53c4,162$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.27456.8%42 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Fnatic40c4,088$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.776365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid50c4,027$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.962369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic53c3,903$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.0665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid38c3,470$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.7128541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Team Liquid20c2,760$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic59c2,000$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.5793248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Liquid29c1,956$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.085955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Liquid39c1,703$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.683129%9 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d04…d4d9backed Team Liquid13c1,578$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Fnatic66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9907659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic63c1,369$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.4662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fnatic61c1,269$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.489344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2701…7d87backed Team Liquid53c1,201$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Team Liquid42c1,178$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.1610956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Team Liquid29c1,132$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.72934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid32c1,035$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.941,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid48c993.63$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic60c950.06$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.8768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Fnatic55c899.97$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9828247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Fnatic52c868.17$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Fnatic50c848.29$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.4733759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Team Liquid78c845.84$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3624732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Team Liquid26c800$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e8…44fbbacked Fnatic56c729.99$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked Fnatic59c650$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid34c579.65$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.431,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic54c506.94$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Team Liquid36c477.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.543644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Fnatic58c412.62$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fnatic59c376.02$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Fnatic74c365.28$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.417145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Fnatic50c355.87$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.225244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Fnatic62c331.52$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.542733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid38c314.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.271,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Team Liquid43c293.23$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.143852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Liquid44c293.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.184845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Fnatic60c291.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecf0…0d38backed Team Liquid29c276.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.041361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Liquid45c233.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.538038.8%31 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Team Liquid20c229.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.78450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+85.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed Team Liquid42c220$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.64250%21 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a7…612bbacked Fnatic60c219.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Fnatic70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Team Liquid43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11414661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Liquid38c167$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9866638%253 W · 413 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid42c159$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.721,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x429f…7f2dbacked Team Liquid38c158.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.822213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked Team Liquid45c150$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.88151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a71…d52ebacked Fnatic73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Fnatic44c129.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.844535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Team Liquid28c128$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2818460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Fnatic65c123.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Fnatic57c110$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.712650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Fnatic57c109.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Team Liquid42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587561.3%46 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5614…b9fbbacked Team Liquid24c96.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Liquid49c90.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.047565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Fnatic57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Fnatic59c85.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12d…7350backed Team Liquid35c74.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.891662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Team Liquid43c68.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Team Liquid29c57.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5510217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Fnatic52c50.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.582166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Fnatic58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+57%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Fnatic47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed Team Liquid46c43.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0616050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Fnatic38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a36…74b8backed Fnatic58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2d…c17fbacked Team Liquid32c39.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+126.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Team Liquid29c38.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.183450%17 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid36c34.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2257517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1056…225cbacked Fnatic58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed Team Liquid75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Fnatic75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Fnatic70c26.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.642450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee3…f07ebacked Fnatic71c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7b2…9603backed Team Liquid55c23.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.