Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd6dee08db24c83ee7459a7362b85613502ff12950434628a205638aa3315c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Fnatic, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 7,527$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.58 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…44fbbacked Fnatic | 57c | 3,467$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 3,322$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic | 33c | 2,745$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.14 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,671$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.85 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Fnatic | 50c | 2,341$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.62 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,694$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.8 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,679$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.53 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,479$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.09 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc152…7b79backed Fnatic | 11c | 925.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Fnatic | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Fnatic | 61c | 815.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Fnatic | 49c | 781.63$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Fnatic | 62c | 747.12$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Fnatic | 43c | 688$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.85 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Team Liquid | 46c | 654.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Fnatic | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Fnatic | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Team Liquid | 54c | 461.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Fnatic | 66c | 333$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fnatic | 34c | 328.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Fnatic | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Fnatic | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fnatic | 54c | 289.4$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Team Liquid | 43c | 266.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fnatic | 53c | 265$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed Fnatic | 48c | 208.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Fnatic | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fnatic | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fnatic | 41c | 164$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Team Liquid | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Fnatic | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Team Liquid | 52c | 115.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Fnatic | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…7f2dbacked Fnatic | 21c | 107.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Fnatic | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Fnatic | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…0a99backed Fnatic | 55c | 98.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Fnatic | 54c | 83.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eec…600bbacked Fnatic | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Fnatic | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 75.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Fnatic | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Liquid | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Fnatic | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Fnatic | 24c | 52.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Fnatic | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Fnatic | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…bc3cbacked Fnatic | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…1b47backed Team Liquid | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Fnatic | 48c | 31.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…d34bbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fnatic | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Team Liquid | 70c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.