TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,099,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,112,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,099,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94f1…4c7abacked Over53c894,560$473,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,215.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c209,995$98,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,564.891,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under47c118,239$55,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,624.2915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c69,491$32,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,822.0762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c62,598$29,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,419.9713348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Under47c61,116$28,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,724.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under47c57,986$27,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,253.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under47c46,916$22,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,198.773050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under48c33,412$15,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,983.411464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over54c30,497$16,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,090.316644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c29,141$13,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,670.789159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b22…c824backed Over52c23,295$12,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,265.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c23,235$10,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,973.9287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c21,150$9,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,947.421,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under48c18,875$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under48c16,183$7,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,714.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under47c15,679$7,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,414.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c13,693$6,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,439.4321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under47c9,936$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6703542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under48c8,810$4,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,228.85354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under48c8,037$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.871266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c6,200$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under47c6,081$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c5,856$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.323141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under48c5,482$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.411855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3503420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9614346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under47c3,523$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001888.9%16 W · 2 L+7.1wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+94.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed Under57c2,996$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c2,867$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3902661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c2,398$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.7329949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9406553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9403036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Under47c1,555$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+229.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c1,383$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under47c1,070$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.92245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under47c962.21$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c937.51$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.382850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over51c761.57$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.159553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Under35c709.33$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c587$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.712147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under14c552.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c493.59$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under47c446.81$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under48c429$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.929355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Under48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.164843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under47c382.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…e860backed Under47c374.47$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under46c340.21$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.51717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14123260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick44cpaid+116.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over54c292.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under47c270$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.917756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under47c265.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.757057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under47c265$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.556053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under38c250.39$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4935037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over61c233.91$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under47c230$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.111556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c205$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.354151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over51c198.62$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.322157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over54c195.07$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under47c180.42$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3114247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.68460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under47c175$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.256555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over51c170.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.58333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Under47c155.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+156.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.56656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over46c149.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Over51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c133.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9924051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.49354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.410653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.410556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.410756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.47452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c119$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.