Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30747d0a91f8ba97b73ef42b167d53ae11ac2988bbbd9cdc729388e1d9945ced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 14c | 898$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 301.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 23c | 261$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 236.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 180.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 159.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 127.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 76c | 126.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 97.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 75c | 78.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 52.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 77c | 40.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…b742backed Over | 78c | 39.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…1e5dbacked Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.