Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e7edb4a6a52e617e1564737d696820f33367715dbcac08364be4e8e2910b06a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 18,511$12,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,733.78 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 31c | 16,983$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,718.36 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 72c | 2,300$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 1,662$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.77 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Under | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 899.47$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 31c | 884.38$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.22 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 63c | 789.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Over | 39c | 766.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 50c | 715.87$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Under | 47c | 689.29$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over | 49c | 389.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 49c | 370$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Over | 61c | 367.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 47c | 290.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 171.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Under | 69c | 130.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 31c | 129.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 110.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 104.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 42c | 95.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 40c | 92.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 44c | 85.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 23c | 64.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed Under | 58c | 60.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…d672backed Over | 31c | 48.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 46.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 43.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 63c | 41.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…704bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 28c | 39.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff7…4ae6backed Over | 30c | 38.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 33c | 35.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 31c | 32.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Under | 70c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…2976backed Under | 72c | 19.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…492bbacked Under | 72c | 19.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 69c | 19.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…45cdbacked Under | 71c | 17.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…101abacked Under | 71c | 16.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…24b9backed Under | 71c | 14.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ad…c852backed Under | 72c | 14.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.