Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Boise State Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242bcbf2939e3a25ed9d773af443524f10f740b9259e8e5f76b1fbe72357a323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise State Broncosof Wyoming Cowboys, Boise State Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 2,370$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Wyoming Cowboys | 23c | 1,620$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.72 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Boise State Broncos | 77c | 1,406$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.36 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos | 60c | 1,098$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming Cowboys | 35c | 984.42$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 739.22$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boise State Broncos | 76c | 655.64$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 27c | 499.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 22c | 497.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Boise State Broncos | 76c | 403.39$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Boise State Broncos | 72c | 387.25$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 25c | 381.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Boise State Broncos | 78c | 353.54$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 276.44$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boise State Broncos | 79c | 264$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Boise State Broncos | 59c | 251.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boise State Broncos | 72c | 242.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boise State Broncos | 77c | 225$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Wyoming Cowboys | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b00…4c7dbacked Boise State Broncos | 78c | 198.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Boise State Broncos | 57c | 198$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 41c | 174.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos | 77c | 148.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Boise State Broncos | 59c | 130.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Boise State Broncos | 75c | 103$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boise State Broncos | 75c | 102.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 23c | 99.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…9a4bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 99.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…735dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 99.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 98.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wyoming Cowboys | 28c | 96.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Wyoming Cowboys | 23c | 77.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boise State Broncos | 76c | 77.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 75.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wyoming Cowboys | 21c | 69.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Boise State Broncos | 78c | 64.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 33c | 56.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Boise State Broncos | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Boise State Broncos | 76c | 54.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 50.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boise State Broncos | 73c | 43.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 42.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Wyoming Cowboys | 24c | 41.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Boise State Broncos | 55c | 41.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Wyoming Cowboys | 28c | 40.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Boise State Broncos | 78c | 32.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Boise State Broncos | 80c | 29.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Boise State Broncos | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 19.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Boise State Broncos | 78c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Boise State Broncos | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Boise State Broncosthis page
- Spread: Boise State Broncos (-8.5)Boise State Broncos won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 144.5Under won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 145.5Under won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.