Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae236accaa63a9380a11e2d619147aeb5a44e5e85f461b35bab75ce3fb2673ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 3,521$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.85 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 1,765$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 25c | 1,170$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.44 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 64c | 937.58$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.58 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 65c | 661.54$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 73c | 500$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 75c | 500$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 74c | 500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 322.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 48c | 313.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 66c | 274.24$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 198.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 183.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 36c | 166.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 155.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 64c | 140.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 76c | 132.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 48c | 98.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a31…67b7backed Over | 66c | 84.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 28c | 78.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 66c | 75.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 45c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 66c | 45.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 58c | 40.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 75c | 39.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…d3cfbacked Over | 65c | 27.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed Under | 57c | 20.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 79c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.