Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b7d4c24b91e5e95bc25a6ffc5f9261793f94b151415acecd73df121083ebd7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 54c | 2,751$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,687$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.61 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,194$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.79 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 46c | 782.61$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 46c | 468$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 45c | 301.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 48c | 218$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 209.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 155.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 24c | 145.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…6633backed Yes | 22c | 117.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked No | 74c | 112.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 56c | 46.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 52c | 41.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 54c | 31.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.