Asian League · resolved market
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3771edfab258ec7e5d96e7c6550a6743b97afb4ef434947a0c8d8c583ec0c3a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,902 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 33c | 23,063$7,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,547.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 22,780$13,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,597 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 8,444$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 28c | 7,947$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,741.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe950…1e0abacked Yes | 33c | 3,856$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 3,284$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.81 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 961.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.46 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 520.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 25c | 513.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.23 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 433.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 415.86$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.35 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 401.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 390.39$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 390.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.18 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 72c | 299.46$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 36c | 299.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.15 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 260.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed No | 51c | 209.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 47c | 201.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 53c | 190.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 53c | 188.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 20c | 177.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 31c | 137.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 39c | 129.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 117.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 117$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 61c | 98.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 39c | 88.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 50c | 74.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 52c | 69.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 30c | 66.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 66.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 21c | 65.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 52c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 50c | 57.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 56c | 54.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes | 50c | 54.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 33c | 50.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes | 46c | 46.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 50c | 46.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 41c | 44.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 39.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Yes | 47c | 38.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 37c | 37.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 56c | 34.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 33.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 56c | 33.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…f080backed Yes | 64c | 29.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 41c | 29.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 46c | 29.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 55c | 25.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 45c | 22.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Yes | 73c | 19.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.