South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6343fe9af94549ba21e20e12308fd0adae1dcf5a47b34e09cd8fff8e9aaa48ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 3,942$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.96 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…53babacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 1,820$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 535.74$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.23 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 42c | 500$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.91 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Yes | 41c | 500$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Yes | 45c | 479.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 57c | 461$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 270.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 208.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 200.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 145.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 123$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 114.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed No | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 41c | 66.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 41c | 58.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 46c | 51.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Yes | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 41c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.