Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf32e681afb95d6bb6666f91e8c0ad58e0c53aeaf4332720bc1a5d6d534a8e490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 9,390$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 70c | 2,100$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 1,219$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 80c | 1,149$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 21c | 861.01$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…8191backed Over | 79c | 650$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 21c | 631.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 80c | 501.39$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 45cpaid | +250.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 80c | 486.15$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 71c | 430.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 79c | 381$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 190.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 69c | 163.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Under | 21c | 93.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Under | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 78c | 42.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 23.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…fdc3backed Over | 79c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…5cfabacked Over | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 72c | 14.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.