Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeab3c8f1876263e5df8feee1cf022f61e72277ee6dfb730f51a67be15249d4e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 9,528$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 7,261$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 28c | 1,250$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.78 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 59c | 1,183$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.64 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 14c | 922.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 37c | 232.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 22c | 209.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…6f97backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 45c | 180$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 33c | 144.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 33c | 144$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 120.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 69c | 94.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Over | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 66.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 68c | 51.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Under | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Under | 68c | 20.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 68c | 15.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.