La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4fe3bce15a113baad911be145c440e94902e1c24a728e9854e94cc0bb7d4c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,825 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.96 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 52c | 7,365$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 3,274$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.64 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 52c | 1,199$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 37c | 1,087$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.47 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 52c | 644.21$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.3 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 576.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 439.93$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.82 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 21c | 380.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.73 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 318.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 52c | 295.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 250.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 240.81$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a89…9e42backed Yes | 48c | 237.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 235$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 72c | 225.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 199.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 49c | 153.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 52c | 113.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 50c | 112.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked No | 50c | 103.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.43per pick | 48cpaid | +126%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Yes | 48c | 96.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 96.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 76c | 72.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 52c | 69.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 61.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 65c | 53.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 78c | 47.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed No | 53c | 47.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 42c | 46.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed No | 71c | 40.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 75c | 34.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 52c | 25.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 65c | 24.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Yes | 48c | 23.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 51c | 22.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 48c | 22.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 51c | 20.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 52c | 19.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…fbf7backed Yes | 77c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.