TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c13,674$6,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,777.711,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Under4c4,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602035%7 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick14cpaid+500.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under26c3,961$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.7658248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over46c2,199$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.494766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,729$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.6746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over36c1,500$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over74c1,490$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.812344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x638f…d9afbacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.114445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over74c1,111$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.864042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under38c1,079$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.226259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over74c1,043$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2516349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over43c999.69$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over45c803$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.653464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over63c793.04$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.043764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over60c679.94$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.685334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over39c630.77$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.771233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3752040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under50c615.23$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.316036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c614.82$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.881,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over53c468.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2722054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.443652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under44c410$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.41656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202688.5%23 W · 3 L+8.1wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+60.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over42c381.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aac…4e55backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Under26c299.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.276450%32 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Over74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c249.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4919455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c239.62$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.559136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over63c223.3$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c215.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9159441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505226.9%14 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4825659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc89…e4d0backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…0387backed Over65c176.92$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over37c171.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.952842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395540%22 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.146152.5%32 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Under56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over43c121.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.844259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under25c110.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4543427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.73237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.810760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under30c105.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.639966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over61c104.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.641172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319144%40 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01cc…c1e3backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over46c97.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.931136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under26c97.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.335060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over74c97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2229350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over65c92.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.322642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe81…0dbcbacked Over33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.94259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over46c89.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.792142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.967639.5%30 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b3…07f2backed Over47c85.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.462560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under17c85.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3422356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under27c85.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.756355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over64c83.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.095052%26 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f46…59c2backed Over74c77.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Over77c76.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.82580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5720042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673574.3%26 W · 9 L+9.4wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+57.4%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over45c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.751030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5617…38fcbacked Over59c64.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.412369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d75…1af0backed Over59c64.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over43c58.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.673534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under27c56.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3439746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Over76c54.01$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.966867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…3fa2backed Over61c52.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over76c52.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.645655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d42…4f02backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over63c50.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9515657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over74c49.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c47.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.746544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over75c45.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.343953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c43.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over60c41.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676556.9%37 W · 28 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over56c41.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.071643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.