Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d8dcbc1b76ed500873de2aa07fd277fa215c4da738c9c92d3e7e8ad0a9c86eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 79c | 2,138$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 4c | 1,108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 941.59$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.08 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 930.22$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.11 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 37c | 831.77$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.67 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 46c | 657$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.88 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 45c | 600.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.53 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 3c | 592.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 55c | 545.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 33c | 234.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 39c | 208.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…25a5backed No | 57c | 198.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 79c | 174.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 169.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 55c | 132.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 61c | 118.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 19c | 117.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Yes | 15c | 106.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 95.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 93.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 87.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 83.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 34c | 81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 50c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 72.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes | 46c | 53.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes | 38c | 52.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 23c | 50.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b0d2backed Yes | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 76c | 46.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 46c | 41.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 41.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 48c | 35.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…54b5backed Yes | 74c | 35.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 34.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 42c | 32.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 63c | 31.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 28.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 57c | 28.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed No | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51f…b4cdbacked Yes | 66c | 22.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 63c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…1983backed Yes | 79c | 18.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.