Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0fd77871ad90761d52fb6d3a84b4571a3c7fdc82afbcf89edc15470a62be964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,022 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,922$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,507$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 1c | 1,458$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 28c | 1,412$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 31c | 968.31$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 888.44$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 24c | 863.03$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 608.45$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 466.3$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 424.34$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 9c | 219.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 168.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 92.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 69.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 18c | 62.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 61.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 57.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bc…6d8dbacked Yes | 22c | 51.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 43.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed No | 71c | 34.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed No | 76c | 34.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.