Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33149dced1f811a17e2a5f885cb3527c3deb3accfc504dbd970ab23f16cc342b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,646 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,564$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.96 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 65c | 1,153$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.54 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 23c | 972.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 656.66$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 65c | 578.36$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.93 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 19c | 516.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed No | 50c | 484$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 397.07$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 17c | 314.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 283.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 36c | 274.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 264.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 65c | 185.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 172.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 42c | 152.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 98.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed No | 45c | 98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 96.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed No | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 35c | 88.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 61c | 77.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 69.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 65.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 62.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 57.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…a24abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 34c | 36.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 34.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 35c | 32.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd51f…b4cdbacked Yes | 65c | 30.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 39c | 27.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.