Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe84eca57bd45badc67bc03e45f1572d9b7cb54c99f439cab8d1f5a8f706ed5aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 2,562$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.6 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 24c | 738$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 571.72$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.14 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 45cpaid | +250.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed No | 30c | 499.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.87 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 24c | 496.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 447.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 72c | 416.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 292.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 270$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 25c | 235.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 224.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 211.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes | 7c | 136.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 83.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 62.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 49.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 30c | 38.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed No | 73c | 35.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Yes | 73c | 20.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.