La Liga · resolved market
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8128771aa64b1bfc2f094853aed661cda9df6ef8ff556e35dbf4fac7a89f07cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 67c | 1,008$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.62 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 807.24$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 795.38$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 654.03$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.57 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 45c | 590$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.4 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 500.01$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.01 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…cc36backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 474.43$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.07 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Under | 56c | 380.23$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 57c | 352.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 21c | 316$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 79c | 316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.43per pick | 48cpaid | +126%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 217.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Under | 10c | 210.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 67c | 96.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 94.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 48.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 56c | 33.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…9d4cbacked Under | 56c | 28.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 25.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…1a0abacked Over | 45c | 24.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 59c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 68c | 18.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5this page
- SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.