Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a68bf67ba6472a271da2107b8167718fdf6d30d534b75a7bf2f113ac2c5e6eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,663 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 6,008$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.07 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 2,034$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 78c | 1,920$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 71c | 1,410$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 19c | 1,253$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.46 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +183%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 92%23 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 499$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 72c | 445.54$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 77c | 206.75$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 65c | 189.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 180.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 79c | 146.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 18c | 135.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 125.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 26c | 115.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Under | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 26c | 50.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under | 26c | 41.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 78c | 41.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 78c | 36.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.