Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc00d552bc8e8daf74df473b11414ee3bff69da1079c08de6771c4fc4322ac188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,448 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,646$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.86 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…7468backed Yes | 57c | 1,102$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 617.28$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 56c | 537.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 46c | 524.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.42 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 326.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 56c | 251.36$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 184$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 44c | 161.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 142.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 55c | 90.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 56c | 84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 42c | 75.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 70c | 23.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1df…677fbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.