TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over55c22,719$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,218.5811445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Under48c19,220$9,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,224.512040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c11,036$5,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,208.4119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c11,000$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,339.9550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over52c4,326$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.4885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c4,218$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.552,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over52c2,600$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.551,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under48c2,158$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0381154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7725…3d5ebacked Under47c2,117$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c1,618$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.842,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under48c1,146$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c804.89$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.076,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over54c777$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5214166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under48c735$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.81637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under44c730.75$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over52c702.12$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.132,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c666.67$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6720054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.924924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under47c542.55$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c499.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over52c478.31$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5911450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c454.64$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7214551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.65257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c366.67$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c365$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.81,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over25c303.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.423435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c288.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under48c268.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under47c252.18$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9410448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1159053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c249.61$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.631,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over48c210.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3817745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over53c201$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.475349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Under50c200.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…fbb3backed Under49c190$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over51c176.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6732164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd4a…3cbebacked Under49c174$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c56…3656backed Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…6b00backed Under49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over57c164.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.891,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff6…f5abbacked Under49c162$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over51c156.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.047233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c149.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0727846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c142.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.731428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b16…40c5backed Under49c141$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.67550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over50c130.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3419145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under47c127.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.871855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c116.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1132345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over53c115$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.052955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over52c112$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over47c101.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8111053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under48c99.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.083953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c96.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.871,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over39c95.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1331747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over48c91.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1125348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9155654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2878…e56abacked Over51c79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.661,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…5bf9backed Over51c71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d2…6a7fbacked Over51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36dc…81c5backed Over53c64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8316045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9490…3528backed Over51c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a10…fc55backed Over52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e4…6dd7backed Over52c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4104…8b66backed Over51c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c61.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6719441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.49152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under47c59.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over48c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x950a…a806backed Over51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.695757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under47c57.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over49c54.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7610827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6083…d92dbacked Over53c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9112backed Over51c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bf…d8ebbacked Over53c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over51c48.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7610550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over47c47.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.258342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked Under48c43.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.87955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over46c43.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c42.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6720758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb8…ae49backed Over53c42.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af5…f432backed Under48c42.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fdc…0745backed Under47c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over49c40.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.834761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over51c39.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.292166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.467245.8%33 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.