Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29b404563e46224cabfa10d0079e7ce7a05c90344eae5870463a96754159304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed No | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 25c | 1,111$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 35c | 989.94$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.19 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 945.49$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 862.35$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.4 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 825.48$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.06 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 793.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +98%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 31c | 562.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.96 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 507.05$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 439.23$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.62 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 419.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 28c | 399.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 72c | 385.18$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 77c | 371.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 59c | 369.33$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 353.41$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.56 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 29c | 342.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 35c | 334.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 64c | 319.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 16cpaid | +200%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 288.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 247.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 11c | 214.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 38c | 210$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 54c | 124$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 45c | 123.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes | 34c | 118$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 35c | 111.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 34c | 108.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Yes | 50c | 100.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 73c | 95.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 91.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 86.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 24c | 75.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 58c | 72.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 69.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 62c | 61.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 18c | 58.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…6fa5backed Yes | 29c | 57.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc01…f1dfbacked Yes | 29c | 55.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 73c | 49.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 48.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 45c | 44.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 29c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 28cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…a315backed No | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 31.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 27.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 72c | 17.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 15.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 72c | 14.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-17?No won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.