South American Leagues · resolved market
Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa8495f39f9cc9c901fa14ac7323975b5f4bacaa1cae0c546fa7e78b4b5a436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,642 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,012$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 21c | 1,250$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 528$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 61c | 340.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 74c | 233.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 41c | 132.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 40c | 130.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 105.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 91.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 90.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over | 40c | 60.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Over | 28c | 57.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Over | 22c | 49.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 46.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 41c | 37.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Under | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 80c | 29.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…6e13backed Under | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 26.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.