TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UT Arlington Mavericksof Southern Utah Thunderbirds, UT Arlington Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,997 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c4,444$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.712,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks68c2,925$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds28c2,342$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.8118954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UT Arlington Mavericks67c2,294$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.711,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds37c1,765$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.82,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c1,119$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.441,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9921549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28855532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked UT Arlington Mavericks66c876.89$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.339454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UT Arlington Mavericks69c820.5$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.111,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds24c814.04$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.711,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds34c774.05$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.541,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks66c496.07$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.667871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds11c495.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.073,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds5c412.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.631,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds30c411.94$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks67c385.95$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3631448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks69c305.25$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c302.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d44…a304backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c300.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds34c297.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.21,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked UT Arlington Mavericks72c272.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c256$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4825837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds38c250.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2164647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed UT Arlington Mavericks65c249.69$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3935338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c236.96$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds17c226.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0216243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds31c202.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked UT Arlington Mavericks79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UT Arlington Mavericks71c196.69$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.725,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks76c190.14$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.044,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked UT Arlington Mavericks67c189.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.973638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c165.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c151.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.57044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks67c149.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4450745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c148.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9911257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked UT Arlington Mavericks67c148.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds11c140.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UT Arlington Mavericks69c136.51$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.883,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds25c115.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c0f…87c5backed UT Arlington Mavericks54c108.48$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.92259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked UT Arlington Mavericks66c105.23$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.782755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa981…7ff9backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds34c105.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3413043.8%57 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed UT Arlington Mavericks74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226030%18 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c99.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.093737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed UT Arlington Mavericks68c99.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.879470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c99.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7349157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds12c93.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.262,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds26c92.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.813534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked UT Arlington Mavericks67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.733445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed UT Arlington Mavericks65c88.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.059264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd1…eee2backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds34c86.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds27c78.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c74.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed UT Arlington Mavericks70c63.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0619641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked UT Arlington Mavericks77c63.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb828…0eccbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds34c58.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c49.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3234947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked UT Arlington Mavericks66c46.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7130054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c46.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.413650.7%69 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds38c44.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.816851.5%35 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c0…8b96backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds34c43.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d96…8a6bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds46c43.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef49…1207backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds35c42.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds32c41.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4324432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds32c41.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2825829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds35c39.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8822047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds32c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4893941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c30.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.223951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb986…d5bfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks71c29.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.661060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c29.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1230050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UT Arlington Mavericks68c21.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62f…9ba2backed UT Arlington Mavericks70c21.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabc2…02f5backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c19.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked UT Arlington Mavericks66c18.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3810458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed UT Arlington Mavericks79c15.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1449747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.