South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb88800be8246b0276ef224ac6991e64a02fddd071fef997b9f1f57cacca6fb7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,914 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1537…e720backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 20c | 2,911$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.33 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 2,199$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 52c | 1,142$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.16 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 42c | 438.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 381$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.31 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 351.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 331.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Over | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 39c | 228.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 210.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Under | 34c | 181.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…fd1ebacked Over | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 48c | 127.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 114.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Under | 72c | 70.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed Under | 74c | 68.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 70c | 65.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 27c | 59.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 49c | 52.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…9d70backed Under | 35c | 51.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 27c | 49.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Over | 27c | 48.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 48.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…7e9fbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 29c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 29c | 41.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef06…32e4backed Under | 52c | 34.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1f…1b83backed Over | 50c | 34.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 39c | 33.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 50c | 33.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…8205backed Under | 51c | 32.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 31.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 27.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…cf55backed Over | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 80c | 20.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 73c | 19.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 16.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 69c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 80c | 12.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.