South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29e9f44af0bcf2284b7497c2a74bd24492263cde5198cf945920f7f61035664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,436 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 2,174$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 78c | 1,382$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.06 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 1,302$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.79 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 77c | 559.66$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 77c | 500.21$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 76c | 349.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 344.32$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 23c | 333$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.02 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 74c | 317$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 24c | 283.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 212.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 78c | 198.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 193.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 62c | 157.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 74c | 148.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 43c | 123.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 117.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 78c | 98.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 22c | 76.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 24c | 69.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 78c | 45.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Under | 28c | 43.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Over | 71c | 42.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 76c | 34.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 37c | 28.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…b793backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 64c | 20.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Under | 77c | 20.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Over | 76c | 17.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08a9…91ccbacked Over | 76c | 16.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 65c | 15.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 69c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.