South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae60283be87369fbca23e20c229979e78ea0462d6f3338cafcef960c0577c25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,793 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,477$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 32c | 928.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 30c | 835.63$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.53 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 574.6$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 51c | 294.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 73c | 199.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 151$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 42c | 129.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…fd1ebacked Over | 34c | 112.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 77.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 61c | 65.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Over | 31c | 61.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 54.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 51.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 34c | 47.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 56c | 34.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 70c | 27.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 67c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.