TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,691 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc974…b33bbacked No69c6,057$4,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.685347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c4,662$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.52,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c3,331$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.5968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c2,050$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c1,841$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.4741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c1,612$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes2c1,611$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.785918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes31c1,609$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7910940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes31c1,520$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.584837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c1,272$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.7296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c1,252$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15212731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c1,188$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1516819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c1,179$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes27c1,096$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.932540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c1,032$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No70c938.28$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.481776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No76c825.01$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19826241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes5c807.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes31c803.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd6…7275backed Yes4c766.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa40b…3418backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-75.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c399.97$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed Yes21c380.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.741717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No69c314.49$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.491258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Yes31c286.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75c…e826backed No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes8c249.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c222$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes18c201.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No69c199.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.991782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No69c199.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No68c181.58$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1138547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes30c166.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ed…6d09backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes28c139.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca75…6c97backed Yes15c135.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes27c129.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.847837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9f…9b2fbacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes21c127.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.917231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.29542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae9e…41f2backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed No74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.358854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2894…d9d8backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304850%24 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No69c99.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8910451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes28c92.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.977065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f72…dc5fbacked Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes25c77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes22c67.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dad…ec0ebacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecd8…ac23backed Yes23c64.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.818253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes28c58.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a4…9a10backed No70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0466…b3a5backed Yes32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…8a6bbacked Yes32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a2…f00dbacked Yes31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked No70c50.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156959.4%41 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes31c48.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.034136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed No70c45.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.573100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No69c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6423353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes32c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.449137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13b7…be2cbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09d…0231backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102080%16 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No63c39.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.564245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6058…1327backed Yes26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c35.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No75c34.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.748861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No71c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.576267.7%42 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No77c32.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.441650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Yes31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed No71c31.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.14757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No70c31.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6111136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c31.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed No70c25.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed No75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No69c23.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.247558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.