TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,025 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No64c97,047$62,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,109.946659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes36c92,169$33,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,988.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes67c18,966$12,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,242.7596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No16c10,170$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.741,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes36c10,080$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,450.4268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No6c8,954$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.322,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No6c5,998$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.893129%9 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+275.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No63c4,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No4c2,951$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Yes36c2,929$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.56850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No7c2,600$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.15918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked No8c2,318$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7150%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No11c2,119$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9716819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No64c1,998$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2793363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed No59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9431…c484backed No6c1,626$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No5c1,479$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed No8c1,473$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.26100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c1,340$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.5341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No61c1,001$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6104837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c838.98$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes41c826.83$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.8317744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes59c757.77$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.775271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No21c699.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes36c699.92$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No2c636.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes79c573.18$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.185076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes36c560$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No64c510.39$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Yes77c456$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.88540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes36c455.56$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.566829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes37c450$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No61c422.82$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8711964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No22c349.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.637347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes36c334.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2233951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Yes37c289.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No13c260.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Yes40c225.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+120.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No39c210.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.277147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf26c…ebe5backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912a…357bbacked No63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No11c176.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes77c157$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7826241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed No24c156.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed No62c156.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0260%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf97d…85ddbacked No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d77…bc86backed No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002580%20 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c09…4418backed No10c141.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No33c140.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5118125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No64c140$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.69257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4458…d13bbacked No24c135$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes39c126.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed No60c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.114134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes78c107$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.086863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.343650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x148b…1894backed Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No57c98.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.974245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ca…2c2abacked Yes37c90$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b4…9ef6backed Yes37c90$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+98.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked No40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes31c79.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.691225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No63c79.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed No64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed No65c77.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99e9…160ebacked Yes37c76.32$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked No40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa0…c4f0backed Yes37c73.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes71c70.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.662560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed No60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cb…3d4abacked Yes37c63.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes38c60.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.533542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0515755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Yes44c53.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed No64c52.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked No57c52.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+93.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306959.4%41 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59cb…5b0abacked No64c48.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e5e8backed No64c48.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes38c47.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1914553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked No64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac13…4182backed No64c46.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes36c44.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6713447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes37c41.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.