Euroleague · resolved market
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Nanjing Monkey King
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8fb0be9e07ab0e86226a8c52bf30b25c45b806494c58960ddde13ddf8280ffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nanjing Monkey Kingof Jiangsu Dragons, Nanjing Monkey King
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,921 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 48c | 5,050$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.07 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nanjing Monkey King | 60c | 1,985$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.84 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nanjing Monkey King | 77c | 1,872$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.74 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nanjing Monkey King | 43c | 816.74$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.74 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 775$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nanjing Monkey King | 43c | 667.3$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.51 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nanjing Monkey King | 57c | 652.04$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.39 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jiangsu Dragons | 6c | 521.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 42c | 505.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 49c | 487.11$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 46c | 394.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nanjing Monkey King | 55c | 377$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nanjing Monkey King | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jiangsu Dragons | 54c | 282.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 41c | 277.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nanjing Monkey King | 61c | 272.91$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nanjing Monkey King | 54c | 264$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nanjing Monkey King | 51c | 258.28$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 60c | 250.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 62c | 246.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 60c | 231.79$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Nanjing Monkey King | 38c | 207.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nanjing Monkey King | 51c | 178.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jiangsu Dragons | 56c | 178.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nanjing Monkey King | 59c | 163.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 162$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 56c | 144$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Jiangsu Dragons | 58c | 135$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Nanjing Monkey King | 41c | 134.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Jiangsu Dragons | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…d93dbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 42c | 119.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Nanjing Monkey King | 43c | 116.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nanjing Monkey King | 40c | 115.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jiangsu Dragons | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Nanjing Monkey King | 59c | 107$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Jiangsu Dragons | 49c | 91.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nanjing Monkey King | 44c | 84.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nanjing Monkey King | 37c | 79.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jiangsu Dragons | 59c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Nanjing Monkey King | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Jiangsu Dragons | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jiangsu Dragons | 60c | 55.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 47c | 47.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Nanjing Monkey King | 42c | 47.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Jiangsu Dragons | 36c | 44.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jiangsu Dragons | 43c | 39.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Nanjing Monkey King | 42c | 35.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…114ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 42c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 61c | 34.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Jiangsu Dragons | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Jiangsu Dragons | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…fec8backed Nanjing Monkey King | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 40c | 33.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 65c | 32.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Jiangsu Dragons | 57c | 31.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Jiangsu Dragons | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nanjing Monkey King | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Nanjing Monkey King | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Nanjing Monkey King | 52c | 20.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 59c | 20.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Jiangsu Dragons | 57c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…2c09backed Jiangsu Dragons | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed Nanjing Monkey King | 61c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Nanjing Monkey King | 61c | 17.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.