TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Cap Cana: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Mackenzie McDonald

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miomir Kecmanovicof Miomir Kecmanovic, Mackenzie McDonald
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,964 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Miomir Kecmanovic69c30,319$21,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,255.391,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mackenzie McDonald23c11,348$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.582,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mackenzie McDonald27c10,808$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.852,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mackenzie McDonald28c7,311$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.9311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mackenzie McDonald33c5,919$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.771,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mackenzie McDonald38c2,266$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.836,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Miomir Kecmanovic55c2,026$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.0912442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miomir Kecmanovic78c1,859$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.158,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Miomir Kecmanovic76c1,477$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.093,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70e…4a2dbacked Mackenzie McDonald30c1,253$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Mackenzie McDonald26c1,005$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5429533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3a…5597backed Miomir Kecmanovic80c824.88$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Mackenzie McDonald17c777.76$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.251933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Miomir Kecmanovic65c749.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2731643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Miomir Kecmanovic72c708.89$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.891,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mackenzie McDonald19c620.9$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.332,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Mackenzie McDonald35c604.6$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2136333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mackenzie McDonald9c581$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.611,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Miomir Kecmanovic68c514.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.152,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mackenzie McDonald29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Miomir Kecmanovic74c408.69$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.634,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mackenzie McDonald32c407.11$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.049,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Miomir Kecmanovic70c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12246649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mackenzie McDonald31c398.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.693,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mackenzie McDonald18c335$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Mackenzie McDonald29c306.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.812828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Mackenzie McDonald34c304.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.411,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Mackenzie McDonald33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Mackenzie McDonald29c301.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.62751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mackenzie McDonald30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mackenzie McDonald20c291.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.311,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Mackenzie McDonald31c283.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8812032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Mackenzie McDonald33c281.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.33,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…4392backed Mackenzie McDonald47c242.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.665250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Miomir Kecmanovic64c233.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.312,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Miomir Kecmanovic71c212.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0340264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Miomir Kecmanovic66c188.69$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.142,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mackenzie McDonald31c185.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.367,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mackenzie McDonald21c151.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.536,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Miomir Kecmanovic66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mackenzie McDonald36c149.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.491,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed Miomir Kecmanovic68c146.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mackenzie McDonald37c144.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.332,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Miomir Kecmanovic70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8684963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Mackenzie McDonald33c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.238048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Miomir Kecmanovic67c126$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5812755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Miomir Kecmanovic70c124.2$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.281933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mackenzie McDonald32c124.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.552,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Mackenzie McDonald9c123.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2211347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Mackenzie McDonald31c111.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.548951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Mackenzie McDonald18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Mackenzie McDonald35c107$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4537238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Miomir Kecmanovic68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Mackenzie McDonald20c98.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Mackenzie McDonald30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mackenzie McDonald33c80.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.267,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mackenzie McDonald32c76.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.491,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Miomir Kecmanovic67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Mackenzie McDonald28c74.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.974650%23 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Miomir Kecmanovic69c72.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1390854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Mackenzie McDonald33c71.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.643852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3d…654bbacked Mackenzie McDonald32c67.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Miomir Kecmanovic67c66.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.739872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Mackenzie McDonald32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.269249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Mackenzie McDonald36c58.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.151,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Miomir Kecmanovic69c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Mackenzie McDonald25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7413456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Miomir Kecmanovic65c45.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9224563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Miomir Kecmanovic78c42.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2157252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mackenzie McDonald30c41.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.513,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Miomir Kecmanovic62c41.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5938268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed Mackenzie McDonald26c40.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.612846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Mackenzie McDonald32c40.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.916165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Mackenzie McDonald30c40.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Miomir Kecmanovic69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2330351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Mackenzie McDonald30c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.896844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Miomir Kecmanovic68c33.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.788252.4%43 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Miomir Kecmanovic74c31.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.444845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7046…468dbacked Mackenzie McDonald33c30.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Miomir Kecmanovic65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7712974.4%96 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…ca15backed Miomir Kecmanovic67c29.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Miomir Kecmanovic68c29.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2794060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Miomir Kecmanovic68c29.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2111256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miomir Kecmanovic66c28.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.531,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7027…fababacked Miomir Kecmanovic72c27.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.665860.3%35 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a80…57ecbacked Miomir Kecmanovic71c25.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a4…d5e7backed Miomir Kecmanovic73c23.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…f20ebacked Miomir Kecmanovic67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.392470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Miomir Kecmanovic73c20.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5710340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Miomir Kecmanovic67c17.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8618166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a00…56c6backed Miomir Kecmanovic67c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.422962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…11ffbacked Miomir Kecmanovic64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.637650%38 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.