Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Maxim Mrva vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f9915c07f76b2d48181745988db1a42671a51f2b178087ce2b608efa0d977f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Maxim Mrva, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Maxim Mrva | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Maxim Mrva | 5c | 7,277$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.15 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 6,468$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.32 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 5,176$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.9 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 3,597$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.37 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toby Samuel | 68c | 2,834$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.53 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Toby Samuel | 65c | 2,407$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.88 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Maxim Mrva | 3c | 2,273$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maxim Mrva | 24c | 2,100$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Maxim Mrva | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maxim Mrva | 18c | 1,590$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.62 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Maxim Mrva | 1c | 1,400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 1,323$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.91 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Maxim Mrva | 31c | 965.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Maxim Mrva | 39c | 930.7$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Maxim Mrva | 26c | 880.15$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…2f99backed Maxim Mrva | 5c | 873.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maxim Mrva | 15c | 760.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Maxim Mrva | 7c | 698.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…7454backed Maxim Mrva | 12c | 627.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toby Samuel | 66c | 600.4$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…d234backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 583$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maxim Mrva | 25c | 550.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 520.11$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Maxim Mrva | 9c | 462.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 458.47$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Maxim Mrva | 26c | 425.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maxim Mrva | 29c | 415.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maxim Mrva | 43c | 401.11$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Maxim Mrva | 39c | 379.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 367.71$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Maxim Mrva | 29c | 361.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Maxim Mrva | 21c | 339.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maxim Mrva | 22c | 313.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Maxim Mrva | 4c | 311.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Maxim Mrva | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Maxim Mrva | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a11…4dc2backed Maxim Mrva | 21c | 288.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Maxim Mrva | 37c | 278$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Maxim Mrva | 27c | 261.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Maxim Mrva | 16c | 255.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Maxim Mrva | 41c | 242$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 221.04$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…e7eebacked Toby Samuel | 74c | 210$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Maxim Mrva | 22c | 195$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Maxim Mrva | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maxim Mrva | 36c | 163.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…eb2fbacked Maxim Mrva | 14c | 157.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Maxim Mrva | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Maxim Mrva | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 144.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 136.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Maxim Mrva | 24c | 127.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Maxim Mrva | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Maxim Mrva | 42c | 117.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Maxim Mrva | 12c | 110.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Maxim Mrva | 25c | 101.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Toby Samuel | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Maxim Mrva | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Toby Samuel | 74c | 94.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…c802backed Maxim Mrva | 23c | 86.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Toby Samuel | 51c | 86.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Maxim Mrva | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Maxim Mrva | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maxim Mrva | 26c | 75.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Maxim Mrva | 27c | 75.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Toby Samuel | 69c | 75.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toby Samuel | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Maxim Mrva | 40c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maxim Mrva | 25c | 61.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Maxim Mrva | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…2c27backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 58.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maxim Mrva | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Maxim Mrva | 26c | 55.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toby Samuel | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Toby Samuel | 70c | 48.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…cc66backed Maxim Mrva | 26c | 45.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Toby Samuel | 54c | 41.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…644abacked Toby Samuel | 74c | 40.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 161 | 75.2%121 W · 40 L | +20.4wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Maxim Mrva | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 39.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…f517backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 36.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…c7bebacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…d8e3backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 27.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…4ffebacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 27.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…9152backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 24.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Toby Samuel | 58c | 23.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 22.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Toby Samuel | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Toby Samuel | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 17.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos 2: Maxim Mrva vs Toby Samuelthis page
- Maxim Mrva vs. Toby Samuel: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Mrva vs. Samuel: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Mrva vs SamuelSamuel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.