TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,539 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Yes47c21,990$10,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,335.291050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c13,864$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.771,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7004339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70016543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c9,471$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.062857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c8,761$6,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.418,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No53c8,208$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.556055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c7,165$4,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.565,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked No53c4,721$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No53c4,512$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.766357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.173935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes38c2,151$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.8517542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes48c2,103$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002055%11 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c2,000$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.481,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed No55c1,825$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+90.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No52c1,546$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.035046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c1,277$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.741,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes45c1,178$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9151749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes5c1,067$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3428651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc1…f823backed Yes29c910.34$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c850.22$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.492,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes37c708.11$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2623129%9 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked No59c631.39$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.394566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes7c573.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3414443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes32c534$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.058953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23517946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes32c487.5$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9321132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No53c470$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db2…ca52backed Yes47c421.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c391.76$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.323,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed No53c377.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a33…6410backed Yes37c367.05$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No52c332.32$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.514153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes28c321.73$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes41c310.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.52268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes49c307.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No63c296.63$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes42c274.55$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1812828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes41c246.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes19c241.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes42c238.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.138057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6de…3db6backed No54c231.87$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed No53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.423737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No55c205.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6828231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3001…4ac2backed Yes47c182.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes42c152.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6411262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes42c151.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.849956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7219460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes45c149.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3218352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No53c131.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.763748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No61c129.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.991,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed No64c129.79$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.661973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No51c124.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.231,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Yes48c122$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c120.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.941,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No52c115$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.27856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes19c112.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504250%21 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8223542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes47c102.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4817960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes47c99.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.614344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes46c98.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1627053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed No58c97.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.032254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No55c94.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed No56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed No58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.338451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Yes45c83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Yes18c77.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked Yes20c75.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b83…66a2backed Yes47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Yes48c72.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes29c68.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed Yes36c67.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.421942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+64.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Yes32c65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Yes47c64.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.371241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed No61c64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.172528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes31c63.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.