South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec57b61f6f3caaf995869e8448d3ccb66ffe24550398311cfc12b1b4ae29f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,773 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 32c | 6,469$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 4,031$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 22c | 3,844$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.42 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 1,437$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 21c | 961.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.06 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 704.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.82 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 405.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.01 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…13b0backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…412fbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…d367backed Yes | 24c | 296$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…edd5backed No | 76c | 296$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 227.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 150.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Yes | 77c | 148.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…4977backed No | 80c | 143.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 20c | 125$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 80c | 108.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…7281backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 99.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 98.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 96.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 20c | 84.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 79.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 71.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 79c | 68.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 57.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 72c | 52.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed No | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 53c | 39.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 34c | 37.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 78c | 26.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 78c | 21.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 17.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 79c | 17.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 78c | 15.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.